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FX.co ★ skyboy | skyboy's - Trading journal

skyboy's - Trading journal

EUR/USD Daily: Analyzing Price Dynamics and Potential Trading Scenarios with Key Levels Market Observation: The EUR/USD daily chart presents an intriguing scenario, marked by a defined period of consolidation culminating in a notable bearish price movement. This dynamic warrants a thorough examination to identify potential trading opportunities based on observed price action. Technical Analysis: The recent price action suggests a shift in market sentiment. Following a phase of relatively contained price fluctuations, a distinct downward move has emerged. This shift necessitates an analysis of the underlying forces driving this change. Candlestick patterns observed during the recent decline indicate sustained selling pressure. The formation of bearish candles, characterized by their relatively large bodies and minimal upper wicks, suggests a lack of significant buying interest and a dominance of sellers. This pattern is crucial in discerning the momentum and potential continuation of the downward move. The recent price trajectory indicates a potential short-term bearish trend. The current price is hovering around 1.0800, and the momentum is clearly downward. The slope and consistency of the downward move provide insights into the strength of the selling pressure. Potential Trading Scenarios: Given the observed price dynamics, several trading scenarios warrant consideration. A strategy focusing on short-biased trades aligns with the current bearish momentum. Traders may consider entering a short position upon confirmation of continued downward momentum. This confirmation could be in the form of a break below 1.0800 with a strong bearish candle close. A retest of the 1.0900 level, followed by a rejection and a bearish candlestick pattern, could also serve as a potential short entry.

skyboy's - Trading journal

Entry/Exit Levels: Potential Short Entry 1: Break below 1.0800 with strong bearish candle confirmation. Potential Short Entry 2: Rejection from 1.0900 with bearish candlestick pattern. Stop-Loss Placement: A strategic stop-loss order placed above 1.0900, ideally around 1.0910-1.0920, is crucial for risk management. Profit Target (Take-Profit 1): The 1.0750 level represents a viable initial profit target, aligning with a potential support zone. Profit Target (Take-Profit 2): If bearish momentum persists, consider a secondary profit target around 1.0700, or lower, based on further price action analysis. My Thoughts on Risk Management and Considerations: When I look at this EUR/USD daily chart, I know I need to be extra careful with my risk. Effective risk management is absolutely key. I'm always thinking about my own risk tolerance and sizing my positions accordingly. I don't want to risk more than I can afford to lose on any single trade. I'm also a firm believer in waiting for confirmation. I'm not going to jump into a trade just because I see a potential setup. I need to see clear signals that align with my analysis. That means paying close attention to candlestick patterns and other technical indicators. Impulsive trades have never worked out well for me. And I always keep an eye on market volatility, especially when news is coming out. Big news events can cause sudden and unpredictable price swings. I adjust my strategy based on the expected volatility. Sometimes that means staying out of the market altogether. My Conclusion: This EUR/USD daily chart is showing some strong bearish momentum after a period of consolidation. I think there's a good potential for a short trade here, but I'm going to be patient and wait for the right setup. I'm going to carefully analyze the candlestick patterns and the overall trend dynamics before making any decisions. And of course, I'm going to prioritize risk management and wait for clear confirmation signals. That's how I stay consistent and protect my capital in the long run.
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