मैंने आपका ध्यान 1.1031 के स्तर की ओर आकर्षित किया और पिछली समीक्षा में इससे बाजार में प्रवेश करने का सुझाव दिया। आइए 5 मिनट के चार्ट की जांच करें और बाजार की स्थिति का आकलन करें। बढ़ते हुए और गलत ब्रेकआउट बनाते हुए, इस जोड़ी ने एक बेचने का संकेत भेजा। इस लेख के लिखे जाने तक, कीमत में लगभग 15 पिप की कमी आई है। तकनीकी तस्वीर थोड़ी बदल गई है।
Long positions on EUR/USD:
The EUR/USD pair broke through 1.1002 during the European session, but it did not attempt to test this level from above. Data on the quantity of initial unemployment claims and the Producer Price Index will be highlighted in the afternoon. Despite the fact that the labor market situation is clear and no significant changes are anticipated, producer prices could unexpectedly fall. This would weaken the US dollar and increase investors' confidence that the Fed's cycle of interest rate hikes may be coming to an end. However, pressure on the pair will increase again if inflation picks up. But it's anticipated that big buyers will start showing up close to 1.0999. If the price creates a false breakout at this level, it could provide a good entry point for long positions, advancing the bullish scenario with a test of the new resistance level of 1.1031. Positive news about US inflation will create a breakout and a downward test of this level, which will create another entry point for long positions and drive the price to a new monthly high around 1.1.59. The area around 1.1089 remains the next target, where traders can lock in profits. Pressure on the euro is likely to rise if the euro/dollar pair declines and there is sluggish bullish activity at 1.0999 in the afternoon. The moving averages pass at 1.0964 in this scenario, where the pair may drop. At this level, only a false breakout could signal a buy. On a recovery from the low of 1.0934, one may start long positions, allowing an intraday correction to the upside of 30-35 pip.
Short positions on EUR/USD:
The pair should not move above 1.0999 due to bears. If not, the pair will keep expanding. They also need to safeguard the 1.1031 resistance level, where several entry points have already developed today. I anticipate seeing major players at this level given the high producer price inflation in the US. Thus, the formation of a false breakout there, similar to what I examined above, remains the best scenario for initiating new short positions. This will cause the pair to fall to the support level of 1.0999. The EUR/USD pair may drop to 1.0964 in the event that this range is broken and tested. If the pair settles below this range, 1.0934 could be reached. The pair may therefore move in a sideways channel as a result. Additionally, at this level, traders can lock in profits. It would be better to delay starting short positions until the pair reaches 1.1059 in the event that the pair increases during the US session and there is weak bearish activity at 1.1031. If the price does not settle below this level, one can sell the euro at this price. On a recovery from the 1.1089 high, short positions can be initiated, allowing for a 30- to 35-pip correction to the downside.
4 अप्रैल की COT रिपोर्ट के अनुसार लॉन्ग और शॉर्ट पोजीशन दोनों में वृद्धि हुई। श्रम बाजार के आंकड़े पिछले सप्ताह व्यापारियों की अपेक्षाओं के अनुरूप थे, और आर्थिक कैलेंडर में कोई महत्वपूर्ण रिपोर्ट नहीं थी। यूरो सहित जोखिम परिसंपत्ति खरीदार संभवत: इस वर्ष मार्च के लिए अमेरिका में मुद्रास्फीति और खुदरा बिक्री की मात्रा के बारे में जानकारी के एक महत्वपूर्ण प्रवाह के लिए तैयार हो रहे हैं। मार्च से एफओएमसी मीटिंग मिनट्स की समीक्षा भी होगी। अमेरिकी डॉलर आंशिक रूप से पिछले महीने हुए नुकसान की भरपाई कर सकता है यदि यह सब आगे ब्याज दर में वृद्धि की आवश्यकता की ओर इशारा करता है। यूरो में वृद्धि हो सकती है, हालांकि, यदि निवेशक डेटा को यह सुझाव देते हुए देखते हैं कि सख्त नीतियों को छोड़ दिया जा सकता है। सीओटी रिपोर्ट के अनुसार, गैर-वाणिज्यिक लंबी स्थिति 2,498 बढ़कर 225,416 तक पहुंच गई, जबकि गैर-वाणिज्यिक लघु स्थिति 4,130 बढ़कर 82,023 तक पहुंच गई। इस वजह से, कुल गैर-वाणिज्यिक शुद्ध स्थिति 145,025 से गिरकर 143,393 हो गई। पिछले सप्ताह की क्लोजिंग कीमत 1.0896 से बढ़कर 1.1000 हो गई।
Signals of indicators:
Averages of movement
The fact that the pair is trading above the 30 and 50-day moving averages suggests that the euro will continue to rise.
On the hourly chart H1, the author takes into account the period and price of moving averages, which are different from the standard definition of traditional daily moving averages on the daily chart D1.
Bands by Bollinger
The indicator's lower boundary, which is close to 1.0964, will provide support if the pair declines.
An explanation of the indicators
Moving average establishes the current trend by reducing market noise and volatility. 50. Period. Identified on the chart in yellow.
Moving average establishes the current trend by reducing market noise and volatility. Number 30. green on the chart, indicated.
MACD indicator, or moving average convergence/divergence. Bollinger Bands, SMA 9, Slow EMA 26, Fast EMA 12, and EMA 26. 20th period
Individual traders, hedge funds, and major institutions that use the futures market for speculative purposes and adhere to certain criteria are considered non-commercial traders.
The total open long position of non-commercial traders is represented by long non-commercial positions.
The total open short position of non-commercial traders is represented by short non-commercial positions.
The difference between non-commercial traders' total net short and long positions is known as total non-commercial net position.