FX.co ★ GBP/USD Forecast for March 21, 2025

At yesterday's Bank of England meeting, only one member voted for a rate cut, compared to the expected two. Despite this, the British pound fell by 32 pips, influenced by a mild risk-off sentiment and a 0.35% increase in the dollar.

On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator has nearly retraced the entire March rally and could reverse direction at any moment. From this perspective, a decline toward the 1.2816–1.2847 range seems unlikely. A break above 1.3001 would open up the nearest upside target at 1.3101, with the potential for further gains up to 1.3184. No major news is expected today, so the price may continue to consolidate below 1.3001.

On the H4 chart, the Marlin oscillator is starting to move sideways along the zero line, while the price fluctuates between the Balance line and the MACD line. The MACD line coincides with the 1.3001 resistance, reinforcing it. Consequently, breaking above this level could trigger a strong bullish impulse. Additionally, on Monday, the March PMI data will be released, which could serve as a catalyst for an optimistic rally.