FX.co ★ EUR/USD – Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/USD pair is struggling to sustain its recent upward momentum, facing difficulties in extending its gains. Currently, it is trading within a narrow range, just below the psychological level of 1.0500. However, spot prices remain close to three-week highs, indicating some resilience in the euro amid U.S. dollar weakness.

Technical Outlook

Positive oscillators on the daily chart continue to support bullish momentum. This could open the door for a test of 1.0545–1.0550, which aligns with the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A break and consolidation above this resistance would strengthen the bullish case, potentially pushing the pair toward 1.0600.

If buyers manage to surpass the December 2024 high around 1.0634, it could further extend the recovery, which began from a more than two-year low in January.

Key Support Levels

On the other hand, 1.0450 (Friday's low) now serves as initial support. A decisive break below this level would expose the psychological barrier at 1.0400, followed by 1.0350. Failure to hold these levels may shift market sentiment in favor of sellers, with the next bearish target at 1.0200.