FX.co ★ Hot Forecast for EUR/USD on 10/23/2024

Although the refinancing rate in the eurozone has been cut by eighty-five basis points over the past three months, the European Central Bank has no plans to slow the pace of its monetary policy easing. Christine Lagarde essentially stated this directly. However, this did not lead to a significant weakening of the single European currency. The scale of the dollar's strengthening has been purely symbolic, mainly because the dollar is already excessively overbought. Moreover, the European Central Bank head made similar statements during the press conference following the last meeting of the European Central Bank's board. So, she didn't provide any fundamentally new information.

Nonetheless, the dollar's overbought condition remains. On the contrary, it has slightly intensified. However, the market cannot grasp anything to implement the much-needed correction. Given that today's macroeconomic calendar is almost empty, at best, we may see only a symbolic weakening of the US dollar.