FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on October 4, 2024

The USD/JPY pair has made significant progress, reaching the September 2 high of 147.22 yesterday. The price has consolidated above the MACD line in the daily time frame. However, for further growth, the price needs to consolidate above this level to neutralize the risk of a false breakout above the MACD line.

The reversal of the Marlin oscillator indicates a working probability that the price could move back below the MACD line, below the 145.25 mark, which would bring the price into the range of 139.70-140.27. This remains the main scenario for now.

On the four-hour chart, the price attempts to consolidate in front of the resistance at 147.22. Marlin continues to decline. The MACD line provides additional support at 145.00. We await the release of U.S. labor market data, which could give the pair a strong impetus.