FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on February 23

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The test of 1.2663 took place at a time when the MACD line moved down from zero, provoking a sell signal. As a result, pound dropped in price by over 40 pips. Buying on the rebound from 1.2625, on the other hand, led to a rise of around 20 pips.

Strong PMI data for the US resumed the decline in GBP/USD. Most likely, this will continue as nothing important will come out today besides the speech of Bank of England MPC member Megan Green. Support for recent statements by Bank of England Governor regarding lowering interest rates even without a return of inflation to the target level will lead to a new sell-off of the pair.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2672 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2698 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur in the case of a firm position by Bank of England representatives.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2655, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2672 and 1.2698.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2655 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2621. Pressure will persist after an unsuccessful attempt to break through the local high and dovish speech of Bank of England representatives.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2672, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2655 and 1.2621.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.