FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on February 21

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The test of 1.2613 took place at a time when the MACD line rose from zero, provoking a buy signal. This, along with the speech of the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey mentioning a possible rate cut even if inflation does not return to the target level soon, revived risk appetite, which led to the pair reaching 1.2654. Meanwhile, selling on the rebound resulted in a decrease of as much as 30 pips.

Reports on the net lending to the public sector and balance of industrial orders will come out today. Weak data will increase pressure on pound, but a speech by Bank of England MPC member Svatava Dhingra could revive demand for the pair, leading to a new wave of growth.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2637 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2680 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur in the case of hawkish stance from Bank of England representatives.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2615, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2637 and 1.2680.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2615 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2578. Pressure will persist after an unsuccessful attempt to break through the local high and amid a weak data from the UK.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2637, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2615 and 1.2578.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.