FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on February 12

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The test of 1.0787 occurred during the rise of the MACD line from zero. This provoked a buy signal, but a sharp upward correction did not happen, keeping the pair within a horizontal channel.

CPI data in Germany matched the forecasts. However, euro did not react to it, moving only to comments from ECB Executive Board members Joachim Nagel and Piero Cipollone.

Trading may continue within the horizontal channel today as the macroeconomic calendar remains empty. Euro may react to the economic forecast from the European Commission, but that will happen only amid very positive figures.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0801 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0835. Growth may occur in line with the upward correction.

When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0769, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0801 and 1.0835.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0769 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0727. Pressure on the pair will increase amid very weak forecast from the European Commission and an unsuccessful attempt to consolidate at the daily high.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0801, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0769 and 1.0727.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.