FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on February 7 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on GBP/USD

The test of 1.2613 took place at a time when the MACD line moved upward from zero. This provoked a buy signal, which led to a price increase of nearly 30 pips. The pair, however, did not reach the target level of 1.2647.

The empty macroeconomic calendar in the UK and persistent bullish momentum pushed pound further up. Most likely, this trend will continue, but it will depend on the upcoming data from the US. In addition to the trade balance and consumer credit volume, there will also be speeches by FOMC representatives. Special attention should be given to statements by Susan Collins and Thomas Barkin, as preparations for rate cuts and a dovish tone could trigger a new sell-off of dollar, leading to an increase in GBP/USD.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2641 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2693 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after very weak data from the US and a dovish stance from Fed representatives.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2615, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2641 and 1.2693.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2615 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2575. Pressure will increase in the case of strong statistics from the US.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2641, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2615 and 1.2575.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.