FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on January 25

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The test of 1.0908 occurred during the rise of the MACD line from zero. This provoked a buy signal, which resulted in a price increase of over 20 pips.

Market players remained optimistic weak PMI data from the eurozone did not intensify the contraction of economic activity in the region. However, in the afternoon, strong PMI data from the US returned pressure on the pair, bringing it back into the horizontal channel. Further movement will depend on the meeting of the European Central Bank, as well as on the IFO's reports on Germany's business environment, present situation, and economic expectations. Better-than-expected numbers will provoke a rise in EUR/USD.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0891 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0930. Growth will occur after strong statistics from Germany. However, further movement will depend on the outcome of the ECB meeting.

When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0873, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0891 and 1.0930.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0873 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0843. Pressure will return in the case of a failed consolidation at the daily high and weak data from Germany.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0891, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0873 and 1.0843.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.