FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for USD/JPY on January 18 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on USD/JPY

No price tests occurred in the morning due to a sharp decrease in the pair's volatility. But everything may change after the release of several US data and comments from Fed representatives. The reports on the labor market will not have much impact on dollar, but the reports on the real estate market could set the pair's direction, as very weak figures on building permits and new foundations will negatively affect dollar's positions. This will lead to a correction in USD/JPY. In the case of very good data, dollar demand will surge, leading to a rise in the pair.

For long positions:

Buy when the price hits 147.96 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 148.33. Growth will occur in continuation of the upward trend.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 147.66, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 147.96 and 148.33.

For short positions:

Sell when the price reaches 147.66 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 147.35. Although pressure will unlikely return, a small correction may be seen after the statements of Fed representatives.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 147.96, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 147.66 and 147.35.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.