FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for USD/JPY on January 12 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on USD/JPY

The test of 144.97, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, provoked a sell signal. However, no downward movement occurred, resulting in losses.

Although trading continued within a sideways channel, everything could change in the afternoon, as an increase in US producer prices will provoke a rise in dollar, leading to a rally in USD/JPY. But if price pressure decreases, the Fed will be forced to soften its policy, which will weaken dollar and spark a downward correction in the pair.

For long positions:

Buy when the price hits 145.40 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 145.95. Growth will occur after high inflation data from the US. This will help bring the pair back to the weekly high.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 144.84, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 145.40 and 145.95.

For short positions:

Sell when the price reaches 144.84 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 144.44. Pressure will return after news of a decrease in US inflation.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 145.40, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 144.84 and 144.44.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.