FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on January 5

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

Further decline became limited because the test of 1.0945 occurred during the sharp downward move of the MACD line from zero. Sometime later, another test took place, but the MACD line went into the oversold area, provoking a signal to buy. This resulted in a price increase of more than 20 pips.

Strong activity data in the eurozone's service sector led to a rise in euro, but the better-than-expected ADP report halted the movement. Growth will resume if the upcoming retail sales report from Germany and CPI data from the eurozone exceeds expectations, while a continued fall in prices will provoke another decline in euro.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0945 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0985. Growth will occur if data from the eurozone indicates another rise in inflation.

When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0919, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0945 and 1.0985.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0919 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0885. Pressure will return in the case of weak data and no bullish activity around the daily high.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0945, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0919 and 1.0885.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.