FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on January 4

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

Although pound managed to stay above 1.2615, the trend still shifted to bearish. And even if the Fed's minutes of the meeting also put pressure on dollar, everything will depend on today's statistics on UK activity. The Service and Composite PMI data for December, which may be revised upwards, could lead to a new wave of growth in the pair. This will affect the bearish market. The upcoming reports on approved applications for mortgage loans and the volume of net lending to individuals in the UK may be ignored.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2680 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2710 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur after good data on UK activity.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2662, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2680 and 1.2710.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2662 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2636. Pressure will return in the case of weak PMI data and lack of bullish activity around the daily high.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2680, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2662 and 1.2636.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.