FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for USD/JPY on December 22

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY

Further decline became limited because the test of 142.84 coincided with the sharp downward move of the MACD line from zero. Sometime later, another test occurred, and this time at 142.49, which resulted in a small upward correction of around 30 pips.

CPI data in Japan remained at 2.8%, while core prices, which excludes food and energy, turned out weaker than the previous month. This indicates the correct decision of the Bank of Japan not to rush with interest rate hikes. However, even though USD/JPY the pair showed a slight increase, the pressure on dollar remains.

For long positions:

Buy when the price hits 142.76 (green line on the chart) and take profit at 143.46. Growth will occur if buyers manage to protect the local low.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Also consider buying USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 142.31, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 142.76 and 143.46.

For short positions:

Sell when the price reaches 142.31 (red line on the chart) and take profit at 141.67. Pressure may return at any moment, especially after weak reports from the US.

When selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Also consider selling USD/JPY after two consecutive price tests of 142.76 but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 142.31 and 141.62.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy USD/JPY

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell USD/JPY

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.