FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on December 7

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

Further decline became limited because the test of 1.0781 took place when the MACD line moved downward quite sharply from zero. Sometime later, another test occurred, but this time the MACD line rose significantly from zero, limiting the upward potential.

Despite the poor ADP report, euro continued to decline because talks emerged that the ECB may be the first among major global banks to lower interest rates in March next year. The pressure may intensify today if Eurozone GDP and employment reports show a downward revision. A dovish tone of ECB Executive Board member Frank Elderson will also be a reason for a sell-off.

Germany's industrial production and Italy's retail trade volume may go unnoticed by the market.

And if traders ignore all the statistics, EUR/USD may show an upward correction.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0773 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0801. Growth will occur after maintaining weekly lows and very good Eurozone statistics.

When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0757, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0773 and 1.0801.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0757 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0719. Pressure will return in the case of weak data for the eurozone and dovish statements from ECB representatives.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies under zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0773, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0757 and 1.0719.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.