FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on November 29, 2023

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair has been falling for the fourth day, at an accelerated pace for three days. The pair breached the support at 147.17 (November 21st low) this morning, and it can reach the target of 145.08 (June peak). The Marlin oscillator is also falling at a decent pace, but it is still far from the oversold territory. Even if the pair's downward movement slows down, we expect it to reach the target support.

U.S. government bonds are rapidly losing ground. The yield on 5-year bonds has fallen from 4.51% to 4.25% since the beginning of the week. Along with this, the dollar is declining against the yen. Simultaneously, there are increasing rumors of the Bank of Japan abandoning its ultra-loose monetary policy soon.

On the 4-hour chart, there are signs of a brewing convergence between the price and the Marlin oscillator. The main event of the day will be released in the evening – the U.S. GDP for the 3rd quarter. Depending on the risk sentiment, the USD/JPY pair will choose a corresponding strategy. Until then, the price may stall under the resistance at 147.17.