FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on October 26 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD

The test of 1.0538, which occurred earlier in the day, coincided with the downward movement of the MACD line from zero, leading to a signal to sell. However, as of the time of writing this article, a sharp price decrease has not yet occurred. Most likely, everything will depend on the decision of the ECB and the statements by Christine Lagarde. A soft tone will undermine euro, leading to a decline. Important reports also lie ahead, such as the US GDP data for the third quarter, the number of initial jobless claims, and changes in orders for durable goods. Good performance will lead to a further drop in the pair.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0554 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0591. Growth will occur in the event of very weak data from the US and a firm stance by the ECB on interest rates. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.

Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0538, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0554 and 1.0591.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0538 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0501. Pressure will persist in the case of strong statistics, especially after soft comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde suggesting that interest rate hikes can be put on hold. However, when selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0554, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0538 and 1.0501.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.