FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on on October 3

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The test of 1.2146, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 30 pips. Meanwhile, buying on the rebound from 1.2115 resulted in a rise of around 20 pips.

Weak data in the UK's manufacturing sector led to the fall of pound, which continued amid strong reports from the US and statements from Fed representatives, all of whom emphasized the need for further interest rate hikes. As for today, the empty macroeconomic calendar will likely extend the downward cycle, so traders should consider selling on rallies.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2115 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2162 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will unlikely occur. At most, there might be a small upward correction in the morning.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2070, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2115 and 1.2162.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2070 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2016. Pressure may increase at any moment, especially after yesterday's sell-off, driven by the strength of dollar.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2115, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2070 and 1.2016.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.