FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on September 19, 2023

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair has paused at the embedded blue channel's price line and has stayed near this area for the third day. A similar situation with a three-day consolidation in front of this line occurred on September 6-8. At that time, the result of the consolidation was a fall to the 145.90 support.

Now, in case the Federal Reserve eases its monetary policy, or announces a plan for rate cuts at the FOMC meeting, the price may fall further in the long run. The primary target is 146.42 - the MACD line, then 145.90, then 144.73.

The divergence between the price and the oscillator tells us about the advantage of the bearish scenario. However, if the price surpasses Friday's high (147.96), it may reach 148.50, and beyond that, the target level is 150.00.

On the 4-hour chart, we have an uptrend: the price is progressing above the balance and MACD indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator shows that it is rising in the bullish territory. We await the announcement of the results of the Fed meeting on Wednesday.