FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on September 15

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The test of 1.0725 on Thursday afternoon, coinciding with the decline of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that led to a price decrease of over 40 pips. Purchases on the rebound from 1.0679, meanwhile, led to a correction.

Euro fell in price as the ECB announced another increase in its interest rates. Such a policy will certainly not lead to good results, and will harm not only inflation but also the pace of economic growth in the region. Weak ECB forecasts and strong retail sales report in the US also resulted in further sell-offs in the pair.

Today, Italy and France's consumer price indices will come out, followed by data on the eurozone's trade balance. There will also be a speech from ECB President Christine Lagarde, but they will not help euro much, so traders should stick to selling.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0674 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0709. Growth will occur as part of an upward correction. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.

Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0645, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0674 and 1.0709.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0645 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0610. Pressure may return at any moment, especially after the US data. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0674, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0645 and 1.0610.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.