FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on September 5

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The test of 1.0790, which occurred on Monday afternoon, coincided with the decline of the MACD line from zero, prompting a signal to sell. However, normal downward movement did not occur due to low market volatility caused by the US holiday

Data on service and composite PMIs, as well as PPI in the eurozone, lie ahead, and they could lead to a further drop in EUR/USD provided that the reports show a downward revision. This means that market players should be inclined more to short positions, especially in the morning. If sellers do not show activity after updating the monthly lows, it will be more appropriate to consider long positions.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0788 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0829. Growth may occur after hawkish statements from the ECB and strong statistics in the eurozone. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it.

Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0760, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0788 and 1.0829.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0760 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0722. Pressure will increase in the event of poor PMI data. However, when selling, traders must ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0788, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0760 and 1.0722.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.