FX.co ★ Technical analysis of EUR/USD for August 2023

Trend analysis:

EUR/USD may retain a bearish market in August, declining from the level of 1.0996 (closing of the July monthly candle) to the support line located at 1.0898 (blue bold line). It will be followed by a rise to the upper fractal located at 1.1275 (yellow dotted line). The upward movement may continue after testing the level.

Fig. 1 (monthly chart)

Comprehensive analysis:

Indicator analysis - uptrend

Fibonacci levels - uptrend

Volumes - uptrend

Candlestick analysis - uptrend

Trend analysis - uptrend

Bollinger bands - uptrend

Conclusion: All signals point to an upward movement in EUR/USD.

Overall conclusion: The pair will have a bullish trend, with no first lower shadow on the monthly white candle (the first week of the month is white) and no second upper shadow (the last week is white).

Therefore, this month, quotes will fall from 1.0996 (closing of the July monthly candle) to the support line at 1.0898 (blue bold line), followed by a rise to the upper fractal at 1.1275 (yellow dotted line). The upward movement may continue after testing the level.

Alternatively, euro could slip from 1.0996 (closing of the July monthly candle) to the 3 EMA at 1.0799 (yellow thin line), and then rise to the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1275 (red dotted line).