FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on July 11

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading EUR/USD

The test of 1.0949 on Monday afternoon coincided with the sharp drop of the MACD line from zero, limiting the downward potential of the pair. No other market signal appeared for the rest of the day.

The statements of ECB board member Joachim Nagel did not help euro rally. However, traders seized the moment of the correction and, after the speech of Fed representatives, built up long positions.

Germany's CPI report lies ahead, followed by data on business sentiment and present situation from the ZEW, as well as business sentiment index for the eurozone. All of them will limit the pair's upward potential.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.1026 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1055. Good statistics for Germany and the eurozone will help the quote go above 1.1000 and continue to grow. However, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it.

Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.1005, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1026 and 1.1055.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.1005 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0968. Pressure will increase amid very bad ZEW indices. However, when selling, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it.

Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.1026, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1005 and 1.0968.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.