FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on July 5 (US session)

The test of 1.2713 coincided with the rise of the MACD line from zero, which would have been an ideal scenario for buying along the trend. However, weak PMI reports in the UK spoiled the whole picture, leading to the trade closing in a slight loss. No other market signal appeared for the rest of the day.

Pound could rally if upcoming UK reports exceed expectations. However, data on manufacturing orders in the US lies ahead, followed by the release of the latest FOMC minutes. Hints of more than a few rate hikes this year will fuel dollar demand, and this will lead to a further fall in GBP/USD.

Although the speech by FOMC member John Williams will be related to the Fed's future policy, it will not have much impact on the market.

For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2715 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2744 (thicker green line on the chart). Further grow will be seen upon a breakdown of 1.2715.

When buying, make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2682, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2715 and 1.2744.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2682 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2642. Pressure will increase significantly in the event of hawkish Fed protocol.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2715, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2682 and 1.2644.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.