FX.co ★ Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on June 20 (US session)

The test of 1.0935, coinciding with the significant rise of the MACD line from zero, limited the upward potential in the pair. The low market volatility negatively affected market signals today, but the situation may turn around in the afternoon.

Speeches of Fed members John Williams and James Bullard may help recover dollar demand, but the unified voice of ECB members, advocating for further interest rate hikes, will limit the downward potential of EUR/USD. Data on the volume of building permits and the number of new foundations laid in the US could also affect dollar.

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0935 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0965. Growth will occur after weak data from the US. However, before buying, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0911, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0935 and 1.0965.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0911 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0878. Pressure may return amid hawkish comments from Fed representatives. However, before selling, traders should make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0935, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0911 and 1.0878.

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.