Blue lines- Fibonacci retracement levels
Last week we noted the shooting star bearish pattern and the rejection at the 50% Fibonacci retracement in the weekly chart of the Dollar index. Although this week started with a bounce, the index is again under pressure. Bulls need to be very cautious because if this week ends with a black candlestick, this confirms the bearish shooting star candlestick pattern and suggests more downside should follow. USDX has been on an extended run higher for many weeks. Is this the time for a reversal? The chances are high for a pull back and all technical indicators justify a turn lower. The recent low at 105.63 is key short-term support. A daily close below this level will increase the chances of a deeper decline.