FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for September 22, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has made a new swing low at the level of 1.0618, but the bulls are trying to bounce above the intraday technical resistance seen at the level of 1.0674. On the other hand the down trend is still strong, so please keep an eye on the intraday technical support located at 1.0618.

From the bigger point of view, the Head & Shoulders pattern on the H4 time frame chart of EUR/USD is still being developed as the price makes another lower low at the level of 1.0618. Any sustained violation of the level of 1.0618 will extend the drop lower towards the projected target of the Head & Shoulders price pattern on the H4 time frame seen at 1.0550.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.07045

WR2 - 1.06877

WR1 - 1.06810

Weekly Pivot - 1.06709

WS1 - 1.06642

WS2 - 1.06541

WS3 - 1.06373

Trading Outlook:

Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle was terminated at the level of 1.1286 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level and the market reversed lower. The intermediate down move is 8 weeks long now and if the level of 1.0636 is broken (technical support), then the bears might extend the down move towards the level of 1.0517.