FX.co ★ USD/MXN Confirms the Breakout

The USD/MXN pair retreated a little and now is located at 17.163 at the time of writing. After its amazing rally, a temporary retreat was natural. The rate could test and retest the immediate support levels before jumping higher. The Dollar Index current retreat forced the currency pair to slip lower.

The greenback retreated after the US data publication. Unemployment Claims came in at 201K versus 224K expected, CB Leading Index reported only a 0.4% drop versus the 0.5% drop estimated, while Current Account was reported at -212B versus -220B forecasted. On the other hand, the Existing Home Sales and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index disappointed.

Tomorrow, the BOJ and the manufacturing and services data should shake the price. Positive US data should lift the greenback.

USD/MXN Temporary Retreat

USD/MXN failed to stay below the median line (ml) and now it has jumped above the downtrend line. It has found resistance at the weekly pivot point of 17.238, and now it tries to retest the broken downtrend line and the 17.146.

Technically, the rate tries to attract more bullish energy before jumping higher. Stabilizing above the 17.146 and above the downtrend line could announce a new bullish momentum.

USD/MXN Forecast

Testing and retesting the broken level as well as registering only false breakdowns could announce a new rally. Still, only a new higher high, a bullish closure above the pivot point of 17.238 activates further growth. This scenario is seen as a buying opportunity.