FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for August 8, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has broken above the technical resistance seen at the level of 1.0961 and made the new local high at the level of 1.1043. Nevertheless, the bounce was terminated and the market has returned back below 50 MA, but the bulls still trying to resume the up move and they are getting closer to the trend line resistance. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of 1.0961. This technical support level looks very weak, so if it is broken, the market will drop towards the swing low located at the level of 1.0913. Only a strong reversal and a breakout above the intraday supply zone (1.1028 - 1043) would change the short-term bearish outlook. Reversal confirmation comes with the level of 1.1150 breakout. Please keep an eye on the momentum on the H4 time frame chart as it is hovering around the neutral level of 50 on the RSI (14).

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.10716

WR2 - 1.10306

WR1 - 1.10088

Weekly Pivot - 1.09896

WS1 - 1.09678

WS2 - 1.09486

WS3 - 1.09076

Trading Outlook:

Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might be terminated at the level of 1.1286 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level when it is hit, so please keep an eye on this level and the way the market participants (bulls and bears) will deal with it.