FX.co ★ Forecast for AUD/USD on January 31, 2023

The Australian dollar lost 47 points yesterday, it led losses, but technically there are no signs of a trend reversal yet. We just assume that the price broke off from the MACD indicator line, and now it is about to do that. There is a chance that the price will meet the MACD line near its intersection with the support level of 0.6873 (low of January 19, low of August 5, 2022).

The aussie fell this morning due to weak retail sales in December, which were down 3.9% vs. the forecast of -0.3%. A little later, the Chinese manufacturing activity index for January of 50.1 points against December's 47.0 points stopped the AUD/USD decline.

On the four-hour chart, the price settled below the MACD line. Also, the price overcame the support of the local low of January 25 (gray oval). The Marlin oscillator is in the area of the downtrend.

We wait for the results of tomorrow's Federal Reserve meeting.