FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for August 4, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair heading towards the next technical support seen at the level of 1.0834 as the bears keep making lower lows and lower highs. The market participants await the Non-Farm Payrolls data from the USA, that are scheduled for release at 2:30 PM. The intraday technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.0961 and 1.1026. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of 1.0913. This technical support level looks very weak, so if it is broken, the market will drop towards the swing low located at the level of 1.0834. The weak and negative market conditions on the H4 time frame chart support the bearish outlook for EUR. Only a strong reversal and a breakout above the intraday supply zone (1.1012 - 1028) would change the short-term bearish outlook. Reversal confirmation comes with the level of 1.1150 breakout.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.10631

WR2 - 1.10400

WR1 - 1.10290

Weekly Pivot - 1.10169

WS1 - 1.10059

WS2 - 1.09938

WS3 - 1.09707

Trading Outlook:

Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might be terminated at the level of 1.1286 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level when it is hit, so please keep an eye on this level and the way the market participants (bulls and bears) will deal with it.