FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for July 18, 2023

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has made another swing high at the level of 1.1261 and is approaching the next target for bulls seen at the level of 1.1286, which is the 61% Fibonacci retracement level of the big wave down on the Weekly time frame chart. Please notice, the momentum has hit the extremely overbought conditions on H4, Daily and Weekly time frame charts, so the pull-back or correction might occur any time. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of 1.1205, but in a case of a breakout lower, the next target for bears is seen at the level of 1.1020 and 1.1010. Only a sustained breakout below the moving average dynamic support around 1.0900 would change the outlook to more negative.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.12534

WR2 - 1.12384

WR1 - 1.12326

Weekly Pivot - 1.12234

WS1 - 1.12176

WS2 - 1.12084

WS3 - 1.11934

Trading Outlook:

Since the beginning of October 2022 the EUR/USD is in the corrective cycle to the upside, but the main, long-term trend remains bearish. This corrective cycle might be terminated at the level of 1.1286 which is 61% Fibonacci retracement level when it is hit, so please keep an eye on this level and the way the market participants (bulls and bears) will deal with it.