FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for June 26, 2023

Crypto Industry News:

While the traditional financial sector is starting to get more involved with digital assets, many in the industry seem to be saying that "the future of banking is Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies." There are a number of different opinions about what would happen if current trends remained unchanged.

Cameron Winklevoss, co-founder of Gemini, for example, announced the launch of a "great Bitcoin accumulation" between retail investors and financial institutions. He suggested that due to the growing interest from companies, there could be a fierce competition for the acquisition of a top asset between these two classes of investors. He compared buying Bitcoins before ETFs went public to acquiring shares in a company before its initial public offering. He added that the "locks" to buy BTC are closing fast.

Bitcoin investor Anthony Pompliano expressed his belief that there could be a tug of war between Wall Street and smaller investors. He stressed that retail investors could refuse to sell Wall Street, which would make Bitcoin "highly illiquid" for a period of time.

Pompliano noted that "we have institutions and individuals trying to get their share of the finite pool of 21 million Bitcoins. The retail investor has a lead of 15 years and has accumulated all the bitcoins mined and put into circulation, but 68% of them have not been touched in a year."

It predicts that an increase in demand will cause a price change. "Bitcoin went from 0 to nearly $1 trillion in market capitalization with almost zero institutional involvement," he says.

Bitcoin expert Dylan LeClair predicts that its price is "extremely inelastic." However, it adds that no ETF applications will be approved by the SEC until early 2024.

Despite the obstacles, the financial industry is rather optimistic about the future of cryptocurrencies. Many experts believe that the growing interest of institutions will make Bitcoin gain even more value and reputation. Even if the SEC does not approve any ETF application until 2024, enthusiasts are convinced that it is only a matter of time.

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has been seen consolidating the recent gains all weekend long after the 25% rally from the last low hit the level of $30,777. The intraday technical support is seen at the level of $29,556 and the intraday technical resistance is located at $30,328. Moreover, the bulls had broken above the technical resistance located at $28,446 and now this level will work as the technical support. The market conditions are still extremely overbought on the H4 time frame chart and on a Daily time frame chart, so the pull-back might happen soon. The next target for bulls is still seen at the level of $32,350.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $31,378

WR2 - $30,802

WR1 - $30,511

Weekly Pivot - $30,226

WS1 - $29,935

WS2 - $29,650

WS3 - $29,074

Trading Outlook:

The bulls broken above the gamechanging level located at $25,442, so now the mid-term outlook for BTC is bullish. The last pull-back has reached the 38% Fibonacci retracement and the market is ready to continue the up move. The next target for bulls is seen at the level of $32,350. As long as the level of 19,572 is not clearly violated, there is a chance for a long-term up trend to continue.