FX.co ★ USD/CAD: upside scenario takes shape

The USD/CAD pair edged higher and now is trading at 1.3648 at the time of writing. You knew from yesterday's analysis that the rate seems determined to come back higher. The bullish momentum was natural after the US CB Consumer Confidence came in better than expected yesterday.

Today, the fundamentals should move the rate. The Canadian GDP is expected to report a 0.1% drop versus the 0.1% growth estimated. On the other hand, the US Chicago PMI could drop to 47.1 points from 48.6 points, while JOLTS Job Openings could drop to 9.41M. Poor US data and positive Canadian economic data could send the rate down again.

USD/CAD Strongly Bullish!

Technically, the bias remains bullish as long as ithe instrument stays above the median line (ml). I told you yesterday that a valid breakout above 1.3612 validates further growth in the short term. The 1.3654 former high represents an upside target.

Still, after the strong upwards movement, a minor retreat is natural. The rate could come back to test and retest the support levels before extending its growth.

USD/CAD Forecast!

A valid breakout through 1.3654 validates further growth towards the R1 (1.3680) and up to the upper median line (uml). This is seen as a buying opportunity. Also, testing and retesting the median line (ml) could bring new longs.