FX.co ★ Elliott wave analysis of USD/JPY for February 20, 2023

It has been a while since we last looked at USD/JPY as we have been waiting for wave B to develop into a five-wave rally, which now is the case with the test of 135.12 With the five-wave rally now in place and at the same time testing solid resistance at 134.65, we should not expect wave B to move higher and instead set the stage for the next decline in wave C towards at least 121.40 and more likely the equality target between wave A and C at 112.93 before the next impulsive rally should be expected.

In the short term, a break below 133.31 will be a strong indication that wave B has been completed and wave C lower is in progress. A break below support at 131.50 will confirm that wave B has been completed and wave C is unfolding.