FX.co ★ Elliott wave analysis of EUR/USD for February 2, 2023

The FED hiked rates by 25 bps overnight, but the tone was somewhat dovish, which was unexpected. That cut the correction in wave 4 short, meaning that we only saw EUR/USD test 1.0802 and quickly push back above support at 1.0835 just to kick off much higher after the press conference where Powell was pretty dovish.

The quick regain of support at 1.0835 opened the way for a strong rally in wave 5 towards 1.11 and likely closer to 1.1398 as the next upside target. Support is now seen at 1.0933 and then 1.0872, which we expect will be able to protect the downside for a continuation higher to 1.11 and 1.1398 in the days ahead.