FX.co ★ Forecast for EUR/USD on May 12, 2022

Yesterday, the euro decided neither to actively rise nor to decline. The price continues to consolidate above the support level of 1.0493. The price drop below this level opens the target range of 1.0340/65. The reference point for its lower boundary is the January 2017 low. Yesterday's fall in stock markets (S&P 500 -1.65%), caused by persistently high inflation (monthly CPI growth for April is shown at 0.3%, and the decrease in annual pressure from 8.5% to 8.3%) completely deprives investors of interest to risk. As a result, the probability of the euro falling to the lower border of the price channel with an attempt to overcome it increases.

The price is on the MACD line on the four-hour chart, which so far shows its neutral state, but at the same time, it is below the balance line and the Marlin Oscillator is in the negative area.

Summary: we are waiting for the price to drop below the support level of 1.0493 and its further decline.