FX.co ★ Weekly analysis on the Dollar index.

Green lines -Fibonacci retracement levels

This week have seen intraweek lower lows and the Dollar index is closing at new weekly lows. The entire rise from 89-90 is complete and we are now clearly in a corrective phase. Price so far has almost retraced 38% of the entire rise. The 38% Fibonacci retracement level is important short-term support and we expect a bounce off this level. The 38% retracement is at 104.90. The downside potential for the near term is limited as there are increased chances of a bounce from current levels around the 38% retracement. Our longer-term view for the Dollar index is bearish because after a strong bounce we expect the index to form a lower high and then turn lower towards the 100 price level. It is too soon to talk about this scenario, it is important now to focus on the 38% retracement and to see if the index is preparing a bounce hihger.