FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for October 4, 2022

Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair had bounced from the swing low seen at the level of 0.9539 and increased 3.61% as the market is testing the supply zone. The nearest technical support is seen at 0.9813 and 0.9786 and those levels might be used as a base for a bounce extension above 0.9852 in order to test the supply zone located between the levels of 0.9864 - 0.9901. In the longer term, the key technical resistance level is located at 1.0389 (swing high from August 11th), so the bulls still have a long road to take before the down trend reversal is confirmed. Please watch the USDX as the correlation between this two markets (EUR/USD and USDX) is directly opposite. The mid and long-term outlook for the EUR remains bearish until the swing high seen at 1.0389 is clearly broken.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 0.99093

WR2 - 0.98588

WR1 - 0.98328

Weekly Pivot - 0.98083

WS1 - 0.97823

WS2 - 0.97578

WS3 - 0.97073

Trading Outlook:

Despite the recent bounce, the EUR/USD market is still under the strong bearish pressure and as long as the USD is kept being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue far below the parity level, towards the new multi-year lows. In the mid-term, the key technical resistance level is located at 1.0389 and only if this level is clearly violated, the down trend might be considered terminated. Please notice, there is plenty of down room for the EUR to go as the bears keep making a new, multi-year lows.