FX.co ★ Forecast for EUR/USD on August 2, 2021

EUR/USD

The euro fell 18 points last Friday, likely on partial closings since the start of the week, as trading volumes were above average.

On the daily scale chart, the price found the indicator line of the balance with rather strong resistance in the current situation, the decline reached the target level 1.1850.

The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator is on the upper channel line. If this signal line returns to the channel, the previous exit will become false, and then the lower channel line may be reached, which will lead the euro to return to last month's high. Now this option seems unlikely, but for sustainable growth, investors still have to switch from risk aversion to risk buying, which means buying back the euro against positive US data and following the stock markets, if, of course, their growth continues. In this regard, today will be an indicative day. US construction spending is expected to rise 0.4% in June, while the July ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise from 60.6 to 60.9. If on the positive data the euro shows growth, then overcoming the target level of 1.1925 will be a matter of the near future, and then the price will go to the target level of 1.2050 - to the low on May 13.

On a four-hour scale chart, the price is above the indicator lines, the Marlin Oscillator begins to reverse from the zero line upward after the last session has been discharged. The upward trend is not broken.