FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on July 8, 2021

USD/JPY

Yesterday, the yen traded in a 40-point range and closed the day at the opening level below the MACD indicator line. The Marlin oscillator strengthens the urge to leave its own channel downward.

What is noteworthy: the dollar index rose by 0.19% yesterday, stock indices also rose in general (Dow Jones 0.30%), with the exception of second-tier stocks (Russell 2000 -0.70%). The Russell 2000 index is often a leading direction indicator for major indices. And in today's Asian session, the Japanese Nikkei 225 index is already decreasing by -0.57%. It is possible that investors' expectation of a fall in the stock market worries them a lot, this decline has been talked about more and more recently. But be that as it may, the surpassing yesterday's low of 110.41 opens the way to the first target at 109.80. This is the main scenario.

On the four-hour chart, the price is holding back before hitting the 110.41 signal level. The price is below the balance and MACD indicator lines. Marlin is in the downward trend area. We are waiting for the attack in order for the price to go down.

The alternative scenario is difficult. To do this, it needs to go above the MACD line on both charts. On the H4 it is 111.02.