FX.co ★ Forecast for AUD/USD on July 5, 2021

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar appears to have overreacted to the weakness in the US dollar on the day the US employment data was released. AUD/USD gained 57 points. The embedded price channel line at 0.7540 is close to a retest.

The general trend for the pair, of course, remains downward, but settling above 0.7540 can still fuel the correction. Under favorable circumstances, it is possible for the aussie to rise to the June 25 high at 0.7618.

But external circumstances are not yet favorable. Last Friday, different brands of oil closed mixed, iron ore fell 0.6%, and this morning, Pacific stock indexes show mixed dynamics. In such a situation, we should wait until Tuesday, when US investors return to work, and track their further intentions.

The price settled above the MACD indicator line on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator, after its own consolidation, went up into the zone of positive values. Today, the aussie might move sideways.