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FX.co ★ BTC hits all-time high after Coinbase listing on Nasdaq

BTC hits all-time high after Coinbase listing on Nasdaq

Bitcoin reached the historical high, which was in line with our yesterday's forecast. Currently, bitcoin has all chances to continue its explosive growth.

Today the largest US cryptocurrency exchange's listing has occurred on the Nasdaq, which is considered a landmark victory for cryptocurrency enthusiasts. Bitcoin hit a record level of $62,741 a day before the listing of Coinbase shares. "When bitcoin markets create new highs, the price often range-trades and we witness a round of profit-taking," James Butterfill of digital asset manager CoinShares stressed.

Coinbase is a regulated US trading platform. It was founded in 2011 by Brian Armstrong, who previously worked at AirBnb, and Freed Airman, a former employee of Goldman Sachs.

Since 2013, Coinbase has been receiving large amounts of investment from venture capital investors such as Union Square Ventures, Andreessen Horowitz, and the New York Stock Exchange.

This is one of the very first US crypto exchanges licensed to operate in the United States. It is also one of the few crypto platforms that offer unhindered wire transfers. "The Coinbase IPO is a seminal moment for the digital assets industry. From tomorrow, there is an exchange tradeable instrument for [asset managers] to participate in this paradigm change, and this is having a big impact on Bitcoin's price," Pete Cheyne, founder of Bottlepay, a bitcoin-based payments app, said.

However, not everyone can get access to Coinbase. It is not available for investors from the CIS countries as well as for residents of regions that are included in the list of US sanctions. In addition, the crypto exchange has weak technical support, and it is still difficult to solve this problem. Technical problems on Coinbase occur quite often due to the volatility of bitcoin. The bitcoin rally turns into a real challenge for the platform as its capacities are not enough for such a flow of traders.

Notably, one significant feature of Coinbase's listing is that it is not an initial public offering (IPO). Coinbase chose to come to market via a direct listing. It differs from the initial public offering as Coinbase will sell its shares directly to market participants without resorting to financial intermediaries and without paying any commission to anyone.

Coinbase shares will start trading on the Nasdaq under the COIN ticker today. For the crypto traders, this is a landmark victory and a sign of recognition. Naturally, it attracts new investors to digital currencies.

See also: You can open a trading account here

I will talk in detail about listing in my next article. So, let's get back to bitcoin. In order to determine the possible all-time highs, the Fibonacci Expansion tool was used. It was placed at the lows of March 25 and April 7. On the chart, the new Fibonacci Expansion is purple.

At the time of writing this article, the bitcoin price broke through the level of 61.8 of the purple Fibo Expansion and after consolidation rolled back to it. Now on the chart the situation is twofold. Therefore, there are two scenarios for bitcoin. If the 61.8 Fibo Expansion support is not broken and the price bounces up from this level, BTC/USD will gain momentum. It may move to the next target level of the 100 Fibo Expansion, which is located just above $67,000.

There is an alternative scenario as well. BTC may break the level of 61.8 on Fibo Expansion and move to the area of 1048.64 - 61759, located at the previous historical highs. If it consolidates below these levels, it will signal the beginning of a significant correction of the number one cryptocurrency.

 BTC hits all-time high after Coinbase listing on Nasdaq

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
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USD declares war on EUR

What's new is often just what's been forgotten. As spring draws to a close, the long-dismissed mantra "sell America" is making a comeback in markets. The phrase gained traction following Donald Trump's sweeping tariff actions in early April, which heightened fears of a potential US recession. Today, the United States faces a different challenge—fiscal. And the dollar is no longer a safe-haven currency that automatically rallies in times of stress. Still, the US president's threats towards the European Union are clipping the wings of the EUR/USD pair.

If US federal debt does indeed climb to 134% of GDP over the next decade, as projected by Moody's, investors are justified in demanding higher compensation for risk. The so-called term premium in the US bond market has surged to its highest level since 2014. This underscores the depth of market discomfort with the Republican tax-cut proposal.

Chart: US Treasury Term Premium Trend

 USD declares war on EUR

Fiscal troubles are eroding confidence in the US dollar. According to Deutsche Bank, America's fiscal woes pose a greater threat to the greenback than to Treasury bonds. Domestic buyers will likely continue absorbing government debt, but foreign reluctance to do the same could be yet another nail in the coffin for the US dollar index.

The White House, however, has its own agenda. Without waiting for the weekend—so as not to rattle equity markets—Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on goods imported from the European Union. He argued that current talks between Washington and Brussels are going nowhere, that negotiating with Europe is difficult, and that it's time they "got moving." If not, higher import duties will take effect starting June 1.

Markets are now bracing for a new trade war. While the US reached an understanding with China relatively quickly, doing the same with the EU could prove more challenging. Brussels is preparing countermeasures, and tit-for-tat tariffs are likely to harm both the American and European economies. Business activity in the eurozone is already flashing warning signs, so what happens when 50% tariffs hit?

See also: You can open a trading account here

The only potential lifeline appears to be continued monetary easing by the European Central Bank. A sharp slowdown in average wages, which are now at their lowest since late 2021, suggests that the Governing Council has plenty of room to cut interest rates.

Chart: Eurozone Average Wage Growth Trend

 USD declares war on EUR

 USD declares war on EUR

Thus, while fiscal challenges weigh on the US dollar, the inability of the US and the European Union to swiftly reach a compromise is a clear negative factor for the euro, driven by fears of losing a trade war. This balance of risks further heightens the chances of consolidation in the EUR/USD pair.

Technically, the daily chart shows a battle unfolding around fair value, located near the 1.134 mark. A win for the bulls would allow them to expand long positions built during the euro's dip below $1.13. Conversely, if bears maintain control of this key level, investors will have to wait for a deeper pullback in EUR/USD to initiate new long positions.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
Go to the articles list Go to this author's articles Open trading account
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Created with Highcharts 8.0.4EURUSD20. May22. May1.121.12251.1251.12751.131.13251.1351.1375
EURUSD1.1364+0.0082+0.72%
GBPUSD1.3536+0.0117+0.86%
USDJPY142.56-1.30-0.91%
USDCHF0.8208-0.0074-0.90%
USDCAD1.3732+0.0004+0.03%
AUDUSD0.6498+0.0086+1.32%
NZDUSD0.5980+0.0003+0.05%
EURJPY161.95+0.02+0.01%
EURCHF0.9329-0.0001-0.01%
EURGBP0.8393+0.0002+0.02%
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