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FX.co ★ Peter Schiff criticized Wall Street investors for buying bitcoin

Peter Schiff criticized Wall Street investors for buying bitcoin

Peter Schiff criticized Wall Street investors for buying bitcoin

Bitcoin is resurrected. At least, it tries very hard to be. After the traders failed to overcome the support level of $44,000, there is a steady desire of the market to resume the upward trend. However, in recent days, there is very little news that could suggest what awaits bitcoin in the future. Of course, the lack of news does not mean that transactions in the cryptocurrency market are not concluded, and investors have gone into the shadows. If a new wave of purchases of bitcoin begins, this will be reflected in the chart of the movement of "digital gold." But since it is important for us to take into account all the available factors in the process of forecasting the value of the cryptocurrency, we try to pay attention to everything more or less significant. So far, the key factor is really the support of $44,000 per coin, which could not be overcome. There were also data for February, according to which bitcoin miners earned more than $1.2 billion in a month. But such a large amount of earnings is a consequence of the growth in the value of the cryptocurrency itself. Five months ago, this amount would have been five times lower.

The well-known economist and president of the brokerage company Peter Schiff, who is an ardent supporter of gold and a critic of bitcoin, once again took a ride on "digital gold." According to Schiff, only fools invest in bitcoin, and he did not expect that there would be so many of them. Earlier, Schiff said that bitcoin is the largest bubble in the history of mankind. "Bitcoin owners are more confident than investors during the dot-com bubble and the mortgage crisis," Schiff said. He also noted that bitcoin can collapse at any time and lose up to 90% of its value, while gold will remain stable in price. Moreover, the end of the 2020-2021 pandemic crisis may lead to an even greater increase in the value of gold. Schiff recalled that during the 2008 crisis, gold fell by 25%, but then rose and updated its highs in value. In 2020-2021, gold fell in price by only 15%.

Thus, the confrontation between the supporters of classic gold and digital gold continues. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has returned to the level of $50,000 per coin and will now try to break through this psychological mark. Bulls need to trade cryptocurrency more actively, as any hype is usually much less prolonged than the movement that precedes it. In other words, the rise of bitcoin will not last forever. This is a wave, and it is quite short-term. It is unlikely that it will continue for more than 1 or 2 months. So, it is already possible to think about the fact that the cryptocurrency will start a strong fall. New investors are needed for growth, new good reasons are needed.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
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USD declares war on EUR

What's new is often just what's been forgotten. As spring draws to a close, the long-dismissed mantra "sell America" is making a comeback in markets. The phrase gained traction following Donald Trump's sweeping tariff actions in early April, which heightened fears of a potential US recession. Today, the United States faces a different challenge—fiscal. And the dollar is no longer a safe-haven currency that automatically rallies in times of stress. Still, the US president's threats towards the European Union are clipping the wings of the EUR/USD pair.

If US federal debt does indeed climb to 134% of GDP over the next decade, as projected by Moody's, investors are justified in demanding higher compensation for risk. The so-called term premium in the US bond market has surged to its highest level since 2014. This underscores the depth of market discomfort with the Republican tax-cut proposal.

Chart: US Treasury Term Premium Trend

 USD declares war on EUR

Fiscal troubles are eroding confidence in the US dollar. According to Deutsche Bank, America's fiscal woes pose a greater threat to the greenback than to Treasury bonds. Domestic buyers will likely continue absorbing government debt, but foreign reluctance to do the same could be yet another nail in the coffin for the US dollar index.

The White House, however, has its own agenda. Without waiting for the weekend—so as not to rattle equity markets—Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on goods imported from the European Union. He argued that current talks between Washington and Brussels are going nowhere, that negotiating with Europe is difficult, and that it's time they "got moving." If not, higher import duties will take effect starting June 1.

Markets are now bracing for a new trade war. While the US reached an understanding with China relatively quickly, doing the same with the EU could prove more challenging. Brussels is preparing countermeasures, and tit-for-tat tariffs are likely to harm both the American and European economies. Business activity in the eurozone is already flashing warning signs, so what happens when 50% tariffs hit?

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The only potential lifeline appears to be continued monetary easing by the European Central Bank. A sharp slowdown in average wages, which are now at their lowest since late 2021, suggests that the Governing Council has plenty of room to cut interest rates.

Chart: Eurozone Average Wage Growth Trend

 USD declares war on EUR

 USD declares war on EUR

Thus, while fiscal challenges weigh on the US dollar, the inability of the US and the European Union to swiftly reach a compromise is a clear negative factor for the euro, driven by fears of losing a trade war. This balance of risks further heightens the chances of consolidation in the EUR/USD pair.

Technically, the daily chart shows a battle unfolding around fair value, located near the 1.134 mark. A win for the bulls would allow them to expand long positions built during the euro's dip below $1.13. Conversely, if bears maintain control of this key level, investors will have to wait for a deeper pullback in EUR/USD to initiate new long positions.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
Go to the articles list Go to this author's articles Open trading account
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Created with Highcharts 8.0.4EURUSD20. May08:0016:0021. May08:0016:0022. May08:0016:0023. May08:0016:001.121.12251.1251.12751.131.13251.1351.1375
EURUSD1.1364+0.0082+0.72%
GBPUSD1.3536+0.0117+0.86%
USDJPY142.56-1.30-0.91%
USDCHF0.8208-0.0074-0.90%
USDCAD1.3732+0.0004+0.03%
AUDUSD0.6498+0.0086+1.32%
NZDUSD0.5980+0.0003+0.05%
EURJPY161.95+0.02+0.01%
EURCHF0.9329-0.0001-0.01%
EURGBP0.8393+0.0002+0.02%
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