FX.co ★ EUR/USD Hot Forecast on 18 March

EUR/USD continues to push lower toward 1.1000 on Friday as the risk-averse market environment helps the greenback outperform its rivals. The latest headlines surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict suggests that there is little to no progress toward a peace agreement.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour charts holds comfortably above 50 despite edging slightly lower during the Asian trading hours.

1.1040 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 50% retracement of the latest downtrend) forms critical support for the pair. In case sellers manage to drag the pair back below that level and hold it there, additional losses toward 1.1000 (psychological level, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement, 50-period SMA9 could be witnessed.

On the upside, if EUR/USD steadies above 1.1080 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement), it could target 1.1140 (Thursday high, static level) before turning its attention to 1.1200 (psychological level, 200-period SMA).