FX.co ★ Forecast for EUR/USD on July 22, 2020

EUR/USD

The euro rose by 78 points yesterday due to information that the 750 billion euro fund for the EU's recovery from coronavirus has finally been created. The momentum that the euro received could still grow towards the yet-to-be-reached target of 1.1560, possibly to 1.1620, but along with the fading news itself and local market overheating, which is signaled by the Marlin oscillator forming a divergence with the price, a subsequent reversal of the euro down into the range of 1.195-1.1265 is likely.

The price is growing above the balance and MACD lines on the H4 chart, the Marlin oscillator is actively growing and is close to overbought.

The current situation in the euro is such that it is no longer advisable to buy, and too early to sell. Even if we assume the option with a further medium-term rise of the single currency, it is better to wait for the price to pull back, which will occur, at least, in the range of 1.1420/65.