FX.co ★ Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for August 6, 2021

Crypto Industry News:

As the scope of oversight of the cryptocurrency industry by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) expanded, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) argued that cryptocurrency regulation did not fall under the jurisdiction of the SEC.

CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz spoke on Twitter declaring that cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin should be regulated by the CFTC, not the SEC.

Quintenz stressed that cryptocurrencies are commodities and therefore fall under the jurisdiction of the CFTC, unlike securities that are regulated by the SEC:

"To let us all be clear here, the SEC has no power over commodities or their trading systems, whether they are wheat, gold, oil... or crypto assets," he said.

Quintenza's comments came about half an hour after former CFTC chairman Christopher Giancarlo made a similar statement on Twitter, arguing that the CFTC is the only U.S. regulatory agency with expertise in regulating the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets.

The US House of Representatives Agriculture Committee subsequently endorsed Quintenza's statement. The committee's official Twitter account said crypto was "bigger than the SEC" and that Congress "must write laws to protect investors and innovation in the digital economy."

Technical Market Outlook:

The BTC/USD pair has bounced from the 38% Fibonacci retracement located at the level of $37,351 and is trading above the technical resistance seen at the level of $40,454. The next target for bulls is seen at $41,794 and $43,159. The momentum is neutral-to-bullish, so the odd for bulls to test the supply zone again are high. The key short-term technical support is seen at the level of $36,555.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - $53,201

WR2 - $47,804

WR1 - $45,105

Weekly Pivot - $39,794

WS1 - $37,184

WS2 - $31,598

WS3 - $29,174

Trading Outlook:

The bulls are still in control of the Bitcoin market, so the up trend continues and the next long term target for Bitcoin is seen at the level of $70,000. The next mid-term target is seen at the level of $47,000. This scenario is valid as long as the level of $30,000 is clearly broken on the daily time frame chart (daily candle close below $30k).