FX.co ★ Elliott wave analysis of EUR/USD for June 24, 2021

EUR/USD is testing the uptrend since March 2020 and is expected to stay firm above the uptrend for renewed upside pressure in circle wave 5 towards the long-term target at 1.2763. We see a possible new hidden divergence, which if confirmed indicates a strong rally in wave 3 of circle wave 5 to above the former peak at 1.2266 towards the 1.2763 target.

Only a break below key-support at 1.1704 will invalidate this count and indicate that circle wave 5 peaked already in January at 1.2350 and a larger zig-zag correction is unfolding with an ideal target seen 1.1140. This is not our favored scenario, but remains an option as long as resistance at 1.2243 is protecting the upside

Trading recommendation:

Buy EUR and place your stop at 1.1700 Take profit near 1.2763